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  1. #11
    tastywaves's Avatar
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    Re: Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draft

    I think the other thing he fails to mention is how much value these draft picks can be to a franchise. The NFL is a young man's game, with a draft pick you can get a guy locked up for at least 3 years (I think, not sure if this was addressed in the recent CBA). The amount of money your paying for these guys is significantly less than proven FA guys. There is a salary cap so you have to fill a full roster with productive players, the draft is a great vehicle to put good quality guys on your team without paying a premium. If you can pick a pro bowl quality player in the draft, the payoff to the franchise is huge. Thats why first round picks are valued as high as they are and why they should be.

    Thats also why the later rounds are so important if you can pick quality guys. They don't have to be pro bowlers or even solid NFL (by the author's judgement) players to be helpful additions to the team.

  2. #12
    V-Unit's Avatar
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    Re: Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draft

    The average first-round wide receiver since 1990 has produced 34.5 catches, 474.5 yards and 3.1 touchdowns as a rookie.
    I would love to see the stat line for the average fourth-round wide receiver his rookie year. Yes, the draft is a crapshoot, and there are always late round finds, but articles like these try to imply that there are better options in later rounds. That is not true. There are hidden gems in later rounds, and the reason we call them gems is because they are so rare.

    The bottomline is late rounds picks are much more likely to be busts than first rounders. However, nobody calls them busts because they are expected to fail.
    "I hate when threads are destroyed by facts and logic."
    - Prophet


    Thanks Josdin!

  3. #13
    damien927's Avatar
    damien927 is offline Asst. Coach
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    Re: Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draft

    Breaking draft pick results into four categories -- Hall of Famer, Pro Bowler, solid NFL player, and bust or failed to meet expectations

    I have a problem with this break-down..

    Shouldn't it be more like:

    Pro-bowler-- Starter-- Back-up-- Bust

    You notice that he didn't mention ANYONE falling into his "hall of famer" category. You can't break-down statistics and include something that you will just use to change the overall numbers. I think he just did that so he could count any non-starting players as busts. THere are situations where a player is a back-up on his team, but he could start for many other teams... I don't think it is fair to label those guys a bust. IMO

    Thanks Lotza!

  4. #14
    Mr. Purple's Avatar
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    Re: Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draft

    "Del Rio" wrote:
    I guarantee if it was a crap shoot as much as he makes it sound then people would have no problems trading picks, teams would not have analysts and scouting reports......they would just be like...we need a DT so just grab whatever one you see first because its just a crap shoot.

    I agree 100% with ya.There is a reason why coaches and scouts spend countless hours watching,interviewing,testing,and scouting these guys.It cant just be a crap shoot.For the most part alot of first rounders could have huge impacts for all thier teams, but what happens after they drafted is the key. Guys dont get developed right, injured so on and so forth.There is a reason why guys coming outta college are ranked, if it was a crap shoot then we'd just draft a QB in the 6th round so we could crap shoot with our other picks.

    Theres NOTHING greater then a Florida Gator!
    "I promise everyone this. When Childress is let go in two years I can honestly say this.
    "I am not surprised"."-PurplePackerEater

  5. #15
    mfenlon's Avatar
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    Re: Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draft

    Love draft day! Love the hype!
    Love the days leading up to it!
    Love the busts! Love the hold outs!
    Love the Vikings! Hate the Lions
    Football is great!
    #1 in The North

  6. #16
    vikingTurf Guest

    Re: Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draft

    I guess the draft will be live on ESPN, too bad I don't have cable :sad:

  7. #17
    happy camper's Avatar
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    Re: Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draft

    cmon! the draft is fun.

    its a way of looking back years later and saying "i TOLD you bennett was gonna be a bust!"

    or

    "i just knew it on draft day.. we should have taken shawn merriman"

    or

    "i wanted the vikings to draft erasmus james and they did! and now he rocks!"

    its just fun. this article can blow me.
    "There is good and there is evil. And evil must be punished. Even in the face of Armageddon I will not compromise."

  8. #18
    mnjamie's Avatar
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    Re: Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draft

    Friggin' "A" ... I was the only Shaune Merriman supporter around here last year and have the posts to prove it !!! Still kicking myself that braintrust didn't have the foresight to pick him @ #7 .... :cussing:

  9. #19
    mnjamie's Avatar
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    Re: Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draft

    "vikingTurf" wrote:
    I guess the draft will be live on ESPN, too bad I don't have cable :sad:
    Also on NFL Network if you have DirecTV .... :lol:

  10. #20
    shawn9876uss is offline Coordinator
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    Re: Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draft

    That article is exactly the way it is


    Thanks PurpleMafia

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