HEY's Mock Draft (WARNING: Extensive Version)
This site has been so slow that I went a little berserk and made this extensive draft analysis (to say the least)
The primarily focus here is on the upcoming 2013 Vikings' draft, but to understand the Vikes' situation I want to have a somewhat idea of how the NFL draft may fold out. I'm not the biggest fan of doing mocks because the picture can change dramatically with just one team making a surprise pick, but without further ado here's how I predict every team in the first round will draft. But be aware! This one might surprise you in one or more occasions.
or maybe not. I started writing this several weeks ago. At the time, some of my picks were controversial. However, later on I read several expert mocks with similar approach as mine (as if my mock was leaked). The good thing about having written this a couple of weeks ago and then finishing it today is that every players' stock is constantly varying, plus trades and player signings changes team's priorities. In this way I will have a more consistent and (I believe) more relevant and true mock draft.
2013 NFL first round mock draft
Note: I take both the best player available (BPA) and team needs in consideration, but BPA weights more heavily, as it also is a often used philosophy among GM's. Also worth noting, various pending medical clarifications makes some players (like Jarvis Jones and Star Lotulelei) drop a few spots.
1. Eric Fisher OT CHIEFS
When are people going to realize that Fisher is this years best tackle? He's much bigger and physical than Joeckel. Even with his size, he seems more agile and athletic. I thought Joeckel was the better pass protector, but I think Joeckel has lost the edge on Fisher.after being seeing Fisher's dominance over top level pass-rushers in the Senior Bowl. The Combine only further exposed Fisher's great athleticism.
2. Luke Joeckel* OT JAGUARS
This year might make history. I can see two tackles becoming the first two players off the board. This is a Jaguars need (on the other hand, what do they not need?) and I don't think the Jaguars can resist picking Joeckel here if the Chiefs pass on him.
EDIT: When I was first writing this I didn't see any mocks with two tackles being the first players off the board or even Eric Fisher going before Joeckel, but later I actually have seen some mocks with the same scenarios.
3. Sharrif Floyd* DT RAIDERS
I originally wanted to go with cornerback Dee Milliner here because the Raiders surely is in a big need of a corner. However, I believe Floyd's the better player and Raiders are possibly moving to 3-4 and Floyd can play anywhere on the line there. This was a bit of a toss up, but I think the next team on the board will select the other player so it wont affect the rest of the draft order anyways.
4. Dee Milliner* CB EAGLES
As I mentioned above, had the Raiders picked Milliner, the Eagles would have taken Floyd, but Milliner is an excellent choice.
5. Bjoern Werner* DE LIONS
Werner doesn't scream out physical freak, but neither does Jared Allen and he's arguable the best defensive end in the NFL. The Lions would have one heck of a young D-line with Werner on the edge.
EDIT: Werner has lost a lot of steam lately, but it's typical in the early periods after the combine and pro days if the player is not superathletic. He went from a top 5 pick to as late as to the Vikings at 23. I wouldn't mind that happening, but teams will always go back to tape and Werner will not fall out of the top 10.
6. Barkevious Mingo* DE BROWNS
Browns are switching to 3-4 and Mingo is perfect at the outside linebacker in that role. Mingo was not used to his full strength in college and could be a monster at the next level.
7. Geno Smith QB CARDINALS
Originally the perfect scenario for the Cardinals and a reasonable spot for the best QB in this draft, but the Cardinals recently traded for Carson Palmer. He was once considered among the top QB's in the NFL and he fits the Cardinals offense very well, but he's still old and making Geno Smith hold the clipboard for a year or two sounds like a good idea.
8. Ezekiel Ansah* DE BILLS
New defensive coordinator Mike Pettine wants versatile players and Ansah has great potential with or without his hand in the dirt. Too bad his fellow junior teammate, Kyle Van Noy, decided to stay his last year in school because he could have been the top pass-rushing linebacker in this year's class. But Ansah is undoubtedly a very intriguing prospect.
9. Chance Warmack G JETS
The Jets are facing two potential losses on the offensive line and because of poor passing offense should establish the dominant running game they once had. Chance Warmack would be the best player to get that going again, instantly creating arguably the best interior line in the NFL. At the same time setting up for drafting a top running back in round two.
10. Star Lotulelei DT TITANS
Too bad Warmack just got picked up since they could really need an interior lineman. Instead they go on the opposite side of the ball. And boy they would be lucky!. If Lotulelei gets cleared by doctors he will be off the board much sooner than here. Which I honestly expect he'll be.