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  1. #1
    purplepat is offline Hall of Famer
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    Purplepat's Wagers for the Week

    Since I'm bothering to create a post here, that means I will lose everything since "pride goeth before a fall". But I had such a good week last week, I'm going to advertise my picks/plays here, and maybe we can have some fun discussion/debate regarding them.

    For those who didn't see my pro picks last week, here they are:

    3 TEAM PARLAY - $17 bet paid $88.40 (bet amount plus winnings)

    PHI -9.5 over CHI......PHI 19 CHI 9
    NYJ -6.5 over MIA......NYJ 17 MIA 9
    NE -3 over BUF......NE 31 BUF 17 (I "bought" 2.5 pts. on the NE line)

    3 TEAM 6 PT TEASER PARLAY - $19 bet paid $53.20

    PHI -3 over CHI (note: made this bet earlier in week when line was PHI -9)
    NYJ +0.5 over MIA
    PIT +2.5 over CIN......PIT 28 CIN 17

    PROP BETS-BOTH LOST

    Longest FG in STL-SF game over 43 yds (lost $5 bet to win $9.55, only FG was 20 yds)
    First player to score TD in STL-SF game Torry Holt (lost $5 bet to win $35, as STL RB Goodspeed scored his first NFL TD)

    2 TEAM MONDAY NIGHT PARLAY- $10 bet paid $33.78

    KC +7 over BAL.....KC 27 BAL 24
    Over 41 total points scored......51 points scored

    Note: My sportsbook runs a contest on Monday Night where you can double your winnings for free by guessing the correct answers to two questions. Monday Night's question was to guess the total combined rushing yards for Priest Holmes and Jamal Lewis (five choices, each answer had about a 30 yard range), and how many passing yards would Trent Green finish with (again, five choices with about a 30 yard range for each answer). With a 1 in 25 shot to guess both correctly, I somehow did it, which paid me an extra $23.78 (doubling my winnings for the night). So in my pro picks last weekend, I wagered a total of $56 and collected $199.16. So without further adieu, here are my plays for the week....

    6 PT TEASER - $15 to win $42

    NYJ -0.5 over BUF
    PIT -0 over CLE
    IND -3 over OAK

    All three of my picks are playing at home. Buffalo is playing good defense but just can't quite do enough to win. Jets won't blow out the Bills, but should win at home. The Browns have played fairly stout run defense, but the offense really hasn't produced anything. Browns have won their two home games, but looked pretty bad in their two losses, both on the road. Jeff Garcia does not look like a Pro Bowl QB, and Kellen Winslow Jr. is out for the year. The Steelers play pretty good defense as well, and so far Ben Roethlisberger has avoided the kind of mistakes that would put the Steelers in a hole he can't pull them out of yet. I expect a low scoring, ugly game, but I think the 3-1 Steelers should pull out a win at home. Last week, the Raiders gave up plenty of yards through the air and on the ground to the Texans, and Kerry Collins turned the ball over 5 times to a less-than-stellar Texans defense. Imagine what Peyton Manning, Edgerrin James, and the Colts WRs and TEs will do to the Raiders. The Raiders might score enough on the Colts to cover the normal 9 point spread, but the Colts should win by at least a FG, and probably more.

    6 PT TEASER PARLAY - $10 to win $40

    Same three games above, but add

    NE -7 over MIA

    Again, I'm going with the home team. Miami's defense is pretty good, but their offense is simply dreadful, with no running game at all which keeps all the pressure on Miami's below average QBs. In fact, they've had three interceptions returned for TDs already this year. The Patriots seem to like to keep them close, but I'm pretty confident that they should beat this demoralized Dolphins squad by at least a TD.

    I'm playing these bets as well, but I don't recommend you do, as the more teams you add, the greater the chance that one game will fall through and make you a loser....

    6 PT TEASER - $5 to win $35 - add these two games to the above 4 team teaser parlay...

    MIN +2 over HOU
    ATL -1 over DET

    Is Atlanta for real? Is Detroit for real? Detroit beat Houston convincingly at home and beat a bad Bears team on the road, but were dismantled by a strong Eagles team at home. The Falcons barely beat Arizona at home, and a bad 49ers team on the road, but had an impressive win on the road at Carolina last week. Since Atlanta is at home, I feel pretty safe adding them to the parlay to just win, baby. Minnesota is much riskier (so I'm showing my Viking Purple Pride blinders here). The Vikings have lost 18 of their last 19 games outdoors. The pass defense hasn't shown much this year, and a couple of starting LBs will be out. The Texans looked impressive in beating the Chiefs on the road and the Raiders at home in the past two weeks, but the Lions handled them easily in week 2. Even all the losses on the offensive side of the ball for the Vikings (Kleinsasser, Wiggins, O. Smith, Bennett, Rosenthal, and Moe Williams being banged up), I still see the Vikings #1 rated offense in the NFL being able to move the ball at will against the Texans and pulling out a win. Even if they lose, I could still win my bet if they don't lose by more than 2 pts. Frankly, though, taking the Texans with the 6 pt tease would probably be smarter here (HOU +10), as the Texans have a chance to win the game outright and it's easy to believe that the Vikings won't blow them out in Houston.

    7 PT TEASER - $5 to win $55 - all of the above games plus two more (bigger lines as listed)

    CAR +12.5 over DEN
    NYG +10.5 over DAL
    NYJ +0.5 over BUF
    PIT +1 over CLE
    IND -2 over OAK
    NE -6 over MIA
    MIN +3 over HOU
    ATL -0 over DET

    The Broncos have had lots of trouble scoring points since the first week of the season. The Panthers defense has been giving up some rushing yards, but that front four still looks pretty good to me. Carolina was impressive in beating KC on the road, and they will fight like heck to keep their season from going in the dumper. I think Denver will probably win the game, but to expect them to win by 13 points over the Panthers when they have so much trouble scoring seems unlikely. As far as the Giants-Cowboys go, I'm still not sure if the Giants are for real. But Tiki Barber is running the ball lights out this season, hasn't fumbled, and Kurt Warner is avoiding the turnover bug as well. Dallas has virtually no running game, and the Giants contained Ahman Green pretty well up in Lambeau last week. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see the Giants win outright, and I have a hard time seeing the Cowboys winning by more than 10 if the Giants continue to avoid the turnovers.

    Sorry I don't have any straight bets or parlays against the spread to recommend this week, but I don't see any games that look like pretty sure things to go with the straight spread. I'd much rather cash a winner with lower odds than miss winning because a team missed covering the spread by a single point.
    SKOL VIKINGS!

  2. #2
    purplehorn is offline Hall of Famer
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    Purplepat's Wagers for the Week

    I think Indi is the lock of the weekend, plus
    Vikes should win by more than 6 especially
    if we go into an ariel assault.
    Green Bay police station toilet stolen.

    Cops say they have nothing to go on.

  3. #3
    purplepat is offline Hall of Famer
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    Purplepat's Wagers for the Week

    Well, all in all a pretty good week. Only the Lions upset of the Falcons kept all my tickets from paying (damn worthless Falcons cost me $90!). Even losing those last two teaser parlays with more teams, my net result is $35 wagered, $82 collected.
    SKOL VIKINGS!

  4. #4
    DoubleDown11 is offline Pro-Bowler
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    Purplepat's Wagers for the Week

    How bout' them Chargers!
    Vikings almost blew my 6 pt teaser (4 teams) if they would have lost in OT (Vikings +2), made $70 with 25. Not great but not bad.

    Purplepat, who do you like tonight Packers -3, over/under 44 1/2,? I am a homer and all but I like the Pack and the over.
    something witty and comical... followed by genuine sarcasm.

  5. #5
    VKG4LFE's Avatar
    VKG4LFE is offline Jersey Retired Tetris Champion, Monkey GO Happy 4 Champion
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    Purplepat's Wagers for the Week

    Hope you didn't go with the pack and the over!! LOL

    I get the most pissed off looks from people with my VKG 4 LFE Wisconsin license plate, and I LOVE IT!!

  6. #6
    DoubleDown11 is offline Pro-Bowler
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    Purplepat's Wagers for the Week

    I will gladly pay $10 to see the Packers lose... This is the second time this year, They hosed me on a parlay when they lost to the Bears.

    Anybody want to donate? I will put $10 on the Pack every week to gurantee a loss!
    something witty and comical... followed by genuine sarcasm.

  7. #7
    purplepat is offline Hall of Famer
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    Purplepat's Wagers for the Week

    Sad to say I blew a nice parlay on Monday Night...I took the Astros and Titans to win, along with...the under!...on the MNF game. I pretty much knew I was hosed by halftime. A shame too, because with both the Astros and Titans being road dogs, the payout would have been pretty decent (I bet on the money line, rather than the spread).
    SKOL VIKINGS!

  8. #8
    DoubleDown11 is offline Pro-Bowler
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    Purplepat's Wagers for the Week

    Yeah I had the Pack and the over, we both lost... Any dogs you like this week? How about Seattle (@NE) straightup?
    I know its not a dog but Vikes 3 1/2 is a must play. However, usually when I am a homer it nevr works out. I hate parlays because one team will always hose you.
    something witty and comical... followed by genuine sarcasm.

  9. #9
    purplepat is offline Hall of Famer
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    Purplepat's Wagers for the Week

    See my other post, I like the Steelers and the Packers as dogs this week. Seattle probably isn't a bad dog either, but with the Pats riding a 19 game winning streak it's a pretty iffy game. I went ahead and took the Pats in a money line parlay. Seattle could well win outright this week, or keep it within a FG, but I'd feel safer either buying 3 pts. to make the Hawks +7, or putting them in a teaser at +10 or +11.
    SKOL VIKINGS!

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