I have seen draft boards showing Patterson going at various places in the second round. Walterfootball, where your draft chart link is located, had him at 41 in their mock draft. That is nine picks into round two for a 490 value. You valued him at 19 picks higher.
Gawd... C'mon, Minniman! You seem like a smart guy. Have you missed the whole part of why there even is a huge evaluation processes leading up to the draft? Everything is based on evaluation of how a player will do in the NFL. There's a reason why Cordarrelle is described as a unique player and ranked accordingly. ... For Christ' sake, read the post before you comment! I gave Patterson a low-first round value.
I agree. Patterson is a much better prospect than T.J. Moe. That is why it is important to consider losing a player like Harvin. He is a known quantity. Of course, his value is debatable as well.
I don't know the future. That's why the closest thing to a real evaluation of a team's draft is through how we PREDICT how the players will do in the NFL from studying tape and other variables ... I can't believe I actually have to say this: YES, it's impossible to tell how a player will perform. There's a chance Patterson will do nothing in the NFL and an undrafted guy might be the next Jerry Rice. No one knows the future, but there's a way to get a better look on how it might develop. For example, the chances of Patterson succeeding in the NFL is much bigger than T.J. Moe by evaluating the players. That's why they're drafted where they're drafted.