Well, back to the original question, we can't afford any of the decent FA CBs, we've already spent our load. And sure, it sounds good now to restructure KWill and/or JA's contracts, but it really only pushes off the inevitable...eventually, all those dollars will count against our cap. Which, will hurt us down the road. Teams always need another good draft so that they have some cheaper components that are producing as part of the team's cap space.
But, What do ya'all think the percent chance is of a 1st round draft pick working out as planned? Not necessarily superstar status, but at least 3-5 years of mostly consistent production...somebody who adequately fills a spot for multiple years, leaving you to focus future rescources elsewhere...? 65%? Less? I want to say less, but it seems like it should be higher!??
So, let's say, 65%, and obviously, your chances go down each round...lets say,
1st round 65%, 2nd round 55%, 3rd round 45%, 4th round 30%, 5th round 20%, 15,10,5%???? I bet those numbers aren't too far off NFL wide. What do ya think?
So, as far as WRs vs. CBs, I'm suggesting that 4th round and lower don't count cuz there's way less than 50% chance they stick with the team past their rookie contract. If we compare those numbers, defining early picks as 1-3 rounds, over the past ten years, we've drafted 4 WRs, 5 if you count Kyle Rudolf. Burleson was lost during the Hutch poison pill offseason, but would have been better than anybody else we had many years. Williamson hardly needs mention as does Harvin, for obvious opposite reasons. Rice was great for one year, so doesn't really count as a success story here either. Success rate? 2 of 4
We've drafted 6 CBs and 2 safeties in the first 3 rounds over that same time. Of all 8 DBs, I would only call Cedric Griffen, Robinson and Smith successes under the above definition, and 2 of them were rookies this past year that I'm giving the benefit of the doubt and crossing my fingers for. That's a dismal 3 of 8 success rate for the top three rounds of the draft. We really need to nail one correct pick at CB and, have Cook find a way to stay on the field.
But, as much as I love defense, anybody thinking we don't still need WR help and early should remember that we basically swapped Harvin for Jennings, leaving us roughly equal to where we were last year, as the 31st, as in 2nd worst, passing attack in the NFL.
Control the line, control the time, and give your D a chance to shine!!
"Balance it on end and thats the third side of the coin!!" -wookiefoot