Reliability of NFL "Experts"

**sodaknick** · 09-06-2006, 10:53 AM

Just so we're all clear on how good the so called "experts" are in predicting how the season will go, I thought I'd throw out this set of predictions from last year. Pay particular attention to Cris Collinsworth's "Break Out" player for last season.

http://nfl.com/news/story/8812738

Prophet · 09-06-2006, 10:59 AM

It's fun to look at those.
Joey did have a breakout season, brokeout all the way to the peninsula.

**vikes09** · 09-06-2006, 11:08 AM

actually looking back, it wasnt far-fetched in 2005. most of those (if not all) were solid picks at the time. if you're trying to determine how well some (or these 7) people
can perdict those things considering random events that might occur, i think they did a pretty good job.

**BadlandsVikings** · 09-06-2006, 11:11 AM

All these experrts are just guessing, I bet most of them put the names in a bag and shake it up. Whoever you pull out is the winner.
SI has the Panthers beating the Dolphins in the super bowl.

Del Rio · 09-06-2006, 11:23 AM

Your asking them to do the impossible. Football is one of the few sports where the best team doesn't always win. The ball is not round and there is a considerable ammount of luck required to win a game.

That is why if I was asked to pick winners or predict seasons I would go with constants like Coaches. Having your guys in the right spots is more important then having the biggest most famous names on your team.

These experts make a lot of decisions based on players. You can't ask them to be accurate.

Prophet · 09-06-2006, 11:28 AM

Yes I can.
The bastards better be accurate or I will thrash their very existence.
Come to think of it, I will rip on them even if they are accurate.
Forget it.

The worst part is we read it and than either agree or disagree for some inane reason while they're laughing all the way to the bank.

**whackthepack** · 09-06-2006, 11:40 AM

None of them predicted Seattle in the top 3 NFC teams and none of them predicted Pitt in the top 3 AFC teams.

Pitt not being a top 3 AFC team can be debated because they were a wild card team and you can make an argument that even tho they won the Superbowl they might not have been a top 3 AFC team.

There are to many variables in the NFL today to say for sure what teams are going to do from year to year.