Packers vs. Vikings III: They Will Meet Again...In the Playoffs

**singersp** · 11-24-2009, 01:07 PM

[size=13pt]Packers vs. Vikings III: They Will Meet Again...In the Playoffs[/size]

**jkjuggalo** · 11-24-2009, 01:14 PM

Hahahahahahahahaha

The Packers will not make the playoffs.

They lost Harris and Kampman for the season.
They will be lucky to beat the Lions on Thanksgiving.

Vikes, Cards, Saints, Cowboys, and some combo of the Giants, Eagles, or Falcons will be your NFC playoff teams.
Sorry Packers fans.
Try again next year.

**V4L** · 11-24-2009, 01:16 PM

I hope they make it

Id love to spank them again at home with Brett

**idahovikefan7** · 11-24-2009, 01:17 PM

I would be delighted to beat the packers 3 times in one season......But I don't think they make it either

**jargomcfargo** · 11-24-2009, 01:20 PM

Packers fans feeling the shame for a third time in the same season would be priceless.

I agree. They won't make the playoffs.

**i_bleed_purple** · 11-24-2009, 01:22 PM

They currently hold a wildcard spot, but will have to beat out the Falcons, Giants and Eagles for a spot.

**marstc09** · 11-24-2009, 01:23 PM

I would have said yes before the injuries but now I don't think so.

**Overlord** · 11-24-2009, 01:25 PM

Another fan that has scripted the rest of the season already.

The actual chances of this happening are very slim.

First, Green Bay actually needs to make the playoffs.
There's a good chance that happens, probably 66% looking at their schedule and based on the fact that there are two other 6-4 teams and a decent 5-5 team.

No guarantees though, and their schedule is not a complete cakewalk.
After Detroit the cupcakes (STL, DET, TB(ha), CLE) will be done.
The Packers have a significant chance of losing each of their remaining games, with Seattle looking the worst right now by far.

But the real problem comes once they are actually in the Playoffs.
Minnesota is likely to be the #2 seed (I'd guess 75% probability).
There's a small chance (say 20%?) that they actually pass New Orleans, and an even smaller chance that they end up as the #3 or #4.

So if there is a 95% chance that the Vikes have a bye, then the Packers have to win in the first round on the road against a good team.
Not likely, but it could happen (33%?).

Then if the Vikes are the #2 seed, the Packers will likely (80%) play the Saints.
For them to go against the Vikes in round 2 in this situation, they would need to be the 5 seed and the 6 seed would have to win as well.

Then the chances that the Vikes win and the Pack beat the Saints?
Not good.

Juggling all that and a few other considerations around in my head, maybe the Pack have a 5% chance of seeing the Vikes again this season.

Oh, and if they do, it won't be this:

The stage is being set for this heavyweight fight now.

It will be a one-sided beat down like we have already seen twice this year.

Oh, and the Packers are being helped significantly by a +14 turnover ratio.
We can see they're not that good.
With recent injuries to the defense and the law of averages, if that number comes down it could be a very disappointing second half for the Pack.