Packers should sell out to stop the PASS if they want to win...
OK, so I know that this is not the prevailing theory. Everyone is saying that the Packers need to stop AD if they want to beat the Vikings. I disagree.
First of all, I don't think they are going to be able to stop AD. The only thing that stopped him against Houston was an abdominal issue.
Second, when teams stack the box for AD, they can hold him to short yardage most of the time... but there will be two or three times a game at least when he breaks past that first layer of defense and then he is off to the races. If a defense plays traditional defense, there will be more people in the secondary to stop AD once he breaks through.
Third, and probably most importantly, if there is any player on the Vikings that I feel has the potential to make costly mistakes, it is Ponder. If the Packers sell out against the Pass, they will completely knock Ponder off from his game and cause him to make mistakes - like the two red zone INTs the last time we played the Pack. Yes, AD will have a monster game, just like last time, but the Packers would come away with the W, just like last time.
So in summary, if they sell out against the run, we will win in similar fashion to the Houston game last week. If they sell out against the pass, AD will break the record, but we will lose. Just my prediction.
I figure it is probably a pretty good chance that the Packers coaching staff wasn't reading PP.O today, so I felt it was safe to share my brilliant strategy. ;D