Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 15
  1. #1
    josdin00's Avatar
    josdin00 is offline Ring of Fame
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    3,619

    NFL Fantasy Projections

    Okay, here's an interesting little study I did for the heck of it. There's a site out there that provides fantasy football tools and information with a solid mathematical background. They put out two tables recently. One was fantasy point projections by player, and one was a table of strength of schedule factors. I took the two tables, and combined them to get the number of fantasy points each player would score each week (treating defense/ST as one player). If you then treat each NFL team as a fantasy roster, these are the final records for the upcoming season:

    AFC East:
    NE 14-2
    BUF 8-8
    NYJ 8-8
    MIA 7-9

    AFC North:
    PIT 11-5
    CLE 9-7
    BAL 8-8
    CIN 3-13

    AFC South:
    IND 13-3
    TEN 11-5
    JAC 8-8
    HOU 1-15

    AFC West:
    DEN 12-4
    KC 9-7
    OAK 4-12
    SD 1-15

    NFC East:
    PHI 15-1
    DAL 9-7
    WAS 7-9
    NYG 2-14

    NFC North
    MIN 10-6
    GB 10-6
    CHI 7-9
    DET 5-11

    NFC South:
    TB 14-2
    NO 9-7
    CAR 8-8
    ATL 2-14

    NFC West:
    StL 10-6
    SEA 9-7
    SF 8-8
    ARI 4-12

    I don't quite agree with all of these predictions. In the AFC, I think that CIN is too low, and PIT is too high, HOU should do better than they say, and DEN might be a little high. In the NFC, PHI won't do quite that well, and ATL won't be that bad. SF might be a little high as well. However, overall, this looks like a pretty decent picture to me.

  2. #2
    VKG4LFE's Avatar
    VKG4LFE is offline Jersey Retired Tetris Champion, Monkey GO Happy 4 Champion
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Location
    Hartford, WI
    Posts
    16,003

    NFL Fantasy Projections

    Tampa 14-2? With who? They have nobody left and their defense is going to be full of holes!! Philly 15-1, so their 1 will be week 2!! I highly doubt it!!

    I get the most pissed off looks from people with my VKG 4 LFE Wisconsin license plate, and I LOVE IT!!

  3. #3
    triedandtruevikesfan is offline Jersey Retired
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    5,607

    NFL Fantasy Projections

    yeah can't say I agree with it either... football is so hard to predict though. Look at last year... it was a very unpredictable season for all

  4. #4
    josdin00's Avatar
    josdin00 is offline Ring of Fame
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    3,619

    NFL Fantasy Projections

    "VKG4LFE" wrote:
    Tampa 14-2? With who? They have nobody left and their defense is going to be full of holes!! Philly 15-1, so their 1 will be week 2!! I highly doubt it!!
    You're right, I did miss TB in my little disclaimer at the end. Remember, the information I based this off of is meant for the fantasy game, not the real game. I just thought it would be fun to see what would happen if you applied it to the regular NFL.

  5. #5
    VKG4LFE's Avatar
    VKG4LFE is offline Jersey Retired Tetris Champion, Monkey GO Happy 4 Champion
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Location
    Hartford, WI
    Posts
    16,003

    NFL Fantasy Projections

    Oh yeah I know, but those two teams just jumped out at me!! It's not too often even great teams only lose 2 games, and they had two very questionable (at least that's what I think) teams with 2 or less losses!! I guess you never know what is going to happen during the season!!

    I get the most pissed off looks from people with my VKG 4 LFE Wisconsin license plate, and I LOVE IT!!

  6. #6
    DoyleRulz84's Avatar
    DoyleRulz84 is offline Rookie
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    145

    NFL Fantasy Projections

    steelers will be lucky to win 6
    4ee016e435d4da86194a9f140c831959

  7. #7
    LosAngelis's Avatar
    LosAngelis is offline Team Alumni
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    2,735

    NFL Fantasy Projections

    In today's NFL, you can have a white rat in a cage select the matchups by picking the cheese of one of two logos of each of the matchups, and you'll have about the success rate of the official prognosticators.
    Have you ever seen a race of turtles, and they all go the wrong way instead of towards the finish line?

    Welcome to the NFC North.

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    969

    NFL Fantasy Projections

    you gotta admit though, about 70% fo those are pretty close to what you would expect.
    "ted nugent called. he wants his shirt back."-george clooney, ocean s eleven

  9. #9
    hawaiianvike21 is offline Team Alumni
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    3,412

    Re: NFL Fantasy Projections

    "josdin00" wrote:
    Okay, here's an interesting little study I did for the heck of it. There's a site out there that provides fantasy football tools and information with a solid mathematical background. They put out two tables recently. One was fantasy point projections by player, and one was a table of strength of schedule factors. I took the two tables, and combined them to get the number of fantasy points each player would score each week (treating defense/ST as one player). If you then treat each NFL team as a fantasy roster, these are the final records for the upcoming season:

    AFC East:
    NE 14-2
    BUF 8-8
    NYJ 8-8
    MIA 7-9

    AFC North:
    PIT 11-5
    CLE 9-7
    BAL 8-8
    CIN 3-13

    AFC South:
    IND 13-3
    TEN 11-5
    JAC 8-8
    HOU 1-15

    AFC West:
    DEN 12-4
    KC 9-7
    OAK 4-12
    SD 1-15

    NFC East:
    PHI 15-1
    DAL 9-7
    WAS 7-9
    NYG 2-14

    NFC North
    MIN 10-6
    GB 10-6
    CHI 7-9
    DET 5-11

    NFC South:
    TB 14-2
    NO 9-7
    CAR 8-8
    ATL 2-14

    NFC West:
    StL 10-6
    SEA 9-7
    SF 8-8
    ARI 4-12

    I don't quite agree with all of these predictions. In the AFC, I think that CIN is too low, and PIT is too high, HOU should do better than they say, and DEN might be a little high. In the NFC, PHI won't do quite that well, and ATL won't be that bad. SF might be a little high as well. However, overall, this looks like a pretty decent picture to me.
    New england is too high, no 14 wins again, giants wont be that bad, and the eagles wont lose just one game.

    These standings are way off.
    Hupo oe ke kau ana i ka waiupa a ma kou pa o & Hupo na Po o waiupa a


  10. #10
    ItalianStallion's Avatar
    ItalianStallion is offline Jersey Retired
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    6,615

    NFL Fantasy Projections

    "amavikesfan" wrote:
    you gotta admit though, about 70% fo those are pretty close to what you would expect.
    In what way? That their close to last years records? Honestly, do we need a computer for that?


    I m like a Ja Rule poster, cause I'm off the wall.

Page 1 of 2 12 LastLast

Similar Threads

  1. Next Seasons Projections
    By battleaxe4cheese in forum Vikings Offseason/Draft/FA Forum
    Replies: 37
    Last Post: 01-15-2009, 07:42 PM
  2. Some second round projections
    By Garland Greene in forum Vikings Offseason/Draft/FA Forum
    Replies: 10
    Last Post: 04-25-2008, 01:50 PM
  3. March Madness projections
    By BadlandsVikings in forum College Ball
    Replies: 3
    Last Post: 01-30-2008, 05:00 PM
  4. Weekly FF Projections
    By Prophet in forum Fantasy Football Talk
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 07-14-2007, 09:09 AM
  5. Protrades ROY projections - AD #1
    By singersp in forum Vikings Fan Forum
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 07-08-2007, 12:55 AM

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •