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  1. #21
    fanofteam is offline Starter
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    Re:Every NFC playoff scenario for Week 17

    marstc09 wrote:


    Not going to happen. No way both the Vikes and Packers lose.[/quote]

    I think Philly has to lose also for a MN vs GB 1st round game.


    Most likely it's a bye week or Dallas

  2. #22
    Join Date
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    Re:Every NFC playoff scenario for Week 17

    Dekay wrote:
    Good link. Although I would like to think in a more statistically way.

    Lets say every team has 50% chance of winning, and 50% risk of loosing.

    That would make the Vikings the #2 seed in 25% of the scenarios. The AZ vs GB game aint into the equation.

    Thinking about it, I think we are a better team than the Giants, so I would perhaps give us a 55% chance, and thinking even more about it the NYG doesnt have anything to play for, so I'll buff up the chances of us winning to 65%.

    Not knowing so much about the cowboys ill still leave them 50% of winnning.

    That gives us a 0,5*0,65=0,325 or 32,5% chance of getting the #2 seed.

    Ive seen the spread and the vikes are favorite by 8,5 points and the cowboys are favorite by 3 so the chances might creep up to 35% instead.

    Also, the hometeam (both Vikings and Cowboys) generally wins in 63% when playing at home. If you count that 0,63*0,63=0,3969 or 39,69%

    My two cents

    I got a feeling you play a lot of poker?
    Sean Saunders

  3. #23
    Dekay's Avatar
    Dekay is offline Pro-Bowler Element Quest Champion
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    Re:Every NFC playoff scenario for Week 17

    Updated:

    DAL over PHI AZ over GB
    1st NO 2nd MIN 3rd AZ 4th DAL 5th PHI 6th GB

    DAL over PHI GB over AZ
    1st NO 2nd MIN 3rd DAL 4th AZ 5th GB 6th PHI

    PHI over DAL AZ over GB
    1st NO 2nd PHI 3rd MIN 4th AZ 5th GB 6th DAL

    PHI over DAL GB over AZ
    1st NO 2nd PHI 3rd MIN 4th AZ 5th GB 6th DAL

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