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  1. #21
    midgensa's Avatar
    midgensa is offline Jersey Retired Free Kick Specialist 3 Champion
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    Re: Can/Will the Vikings make the Playoffs

    It is virtually impossible for us to make the playoffs at this point. We need the Bears to completely go into the tank and lose out.
    We cannot pass the Falcons or the Saints so we it is down to only One wildcard spot at that point. If the Packers win one more game ... then we cannot catch them because of the tiebreaker, so we need them to win the division and we need the Bears to lose out.

    Just seems VERY unlikely. There are some "three-way" ties with the Saints that *might* work, but that would require the Saints losing out.

    Just not going to happen unfortunately.

  2. #22
    Zeus's Avatar
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    Re: Can/Will the Vikings make the Playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by "NodakPaul" #1081586
    We are not mathematically eliminated yet - and until we are, then I refuse to quit hoping!

    (But my gut says that no, we won't make it. One loss and we ARE eliminated)
    There's no fucking chance the Vikings make the playoffs this year, no matter what the math says.

    =Z=

    Thanks to Josdin for the awesome sig!

  3. #23
    marstc09's Avatar
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    Re: Can/Will the Vikings make the Playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by "i_bleed_purple" #1081625
    Quote Originally Posted by "dfosterf" #1081622
    Quote Originally Posted by "i_bleed_purple" #1081621
    Quote Originally Posted by "Purple Floyd" #1081619
    Quote Originally Posted by "i_bleed_purple" #1081617
    Using the playoff Machine, the following has to happen:

    Vikings win out
    Packers lose out
    Saints lose out (Can get us the 5th seed)
    NYG, Phi, Tampa all lose when possible.
    Doesn't sound good.
    In the Scenario I got, we finish 9-7, along with Seattle, Philly, NO, and NYG, who miss the playoffs

    GB is 8-8, along with Washington, STL and Tampa. The only team we have a tiebreaker over is Washington I believe.
    If you are presently without the so-called-curse, I'd suggest you at least consider it as an alternative reality, as this one is not working out so good for you.

    So-called "crack" is not for all, but I hear it has at least temporary extraordinary medicinal qualities, and that might work out perfectly for you in this instance.
    what the floop are you talking about
    Packer fans never make sense. I lived with them for 29 years. All they do is babble, drool, and drink beer.

  4. #24
    marstc09's Avatar
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    Re: Can/Will the Vikings make the Playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by "midgensa" #1081849
    It is virtually impossible for us to make the playoffs at this point. We need the Bears to completely go into the tank and lose out.
    We cannot pass the Falcons or the Saints so we it is down to only One wildcard spot at that point. If the Packers win one more game ... then we cannot catch them because of the tiebreaker, so we need them to win the division and we need the Bears to lose out.

    Just seems VERY unlikely. There are some "three-way" ties with the Saints that *might* work, but that would require the Saints losing out.

    Just not going to happen unfortunately.
    We cannot pass the Bears. They own the tiebreaker over us via division record.

  5. #25
    so-cal vike's Avatar
    so-cal vike is offline Team Alumni
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    Re: Can/Will the Vikings make the Playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by "marstc09" #1081927
    Packer fans never make sense. I lived with them for 29 years. All they do is babble, drool, and drink beer.
    How are you different?

  6. #26
    so-cal vike's Avatar
    so-cal vike is offline Team Alumni
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    Re: Can/Will the Vikings make the Playoffs

    Just Kidding! :laugh:

  7. #27
    jmcdon00's Avatar
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    Re: Can/Will the Vikings make the Playoffs

    The Vikings could win out: percent they win each games
    Giants 50%
    Bears 50%
    @philly 25%
    @Detroit 75%

    Odds of Vikings winning out: 4.6875% (.5*.5*.75*.25)

    The bears could lose out: Percentage they lose:
    Patriots 75%
    Jets 50%
    @Packers 75%

    Odds of Bears losing out if the vikings win out: 28.125% (.75*.75*.5)

    Both of these have to happen for the Vikings to have a chance at the playoffs. Odds both happen: 1.138% (.046875*.28125)

    After that we need either the Giants or Eagles to lose 3 out of 4, since we already know they lost both lose to the Vikings, we need either to lose 2 out of there other three games.
    Eagles(changed all these to 50% cause my head hurt)
    @cowboys 50%
    @giants 50%
    cowboys 50%
    Odds of losing 2of3: 50%

    Giants
    Philly 50%
    @packers 50%
    @washington 50%
    odds of losing 2of3 50%

    75% chance one of them loses 3 out of 4.

    Overall odds the Vikings make the playoffs: .989% about 1%

    If the Vikings take care of their part and win out there is a 21.1% chance they make the playoffs.
    Hope is still alive!!!
    Atleast that's my theory.

  8. #28
    i_bleed_purple's Avatar
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    Re: Can/Will the Vikings make the Playoffs

    Quote Originally Posted by "jmcdon00" #1081934
    The Vikings could win out: percent they win each games
    Giants 50%
    Bears 50%
    @philly 25%
    @Detroit 75%

    Odds of Vikings winning out: 4.6875% (.5*.5*.75*.25)

    The bears could lose out: Percentage they lose:
    Patriots 75%
    Jets 50%
    @Packers 75%

    Odds of Bears losing out if the vikings win out: 28.125% (.75*.75*.5)
    None of that matters. We can NOT win the division, we need the Packers to lose out, and for us to beat them for a wildcard spot. Its the only way possible to get in. Bears are a game ahead of the Packers,

    If Chicago loses out, and we win out, both teams are 9-7, but Chicago will have a 4-2 divisional record, while we have a 3-3 Divisonal Record. Chicago wins the division.

    Then, if Chicago loses out, that means the Packers get at least one more win, putting them at 9-7 as well, and a 4-2 divisonal record, which still beats us, not to mention they win the head-to-head, putting us at third in the division at best.

    Chicago can win every game except the next game we play against them, it doesn't affect us in the slightest.GB has to lose out, NO, Tampa, NYG, Seattle and STL all have to finish worse than us.

    If that happens, best case scenario, is:

    Atlanta: 13-3
    Chicago: 12-4
    Philly: 9-7
    Seattle: 8-8
    Minny: 9-7
    NO: 9-7

    Teams that miss the playoffs:
    NYG: 9-7
    STL: 8-8
    Tampa: 8-8
    GB: 8-8
    Was: 8-8

    NY can easilly win their division too, leaving Philly out, and Chicago could conceivably still get the home field advantage through the playoffs.

  9. #29
    ndnorseman is offline Pro-Bowler
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    Re: Can/Will the Vikings make the Playoffs

    Winning out might be the WORST thing that happens for us.

    The Vikings' playoff fate is no longer in their hands. Even if they do win out, regardless of the odds or whatever percentage you want to put on it, they still need GOOD teams to suddenly and mysteriously go into the tank.

    So they win out. That puts them at a 9-7 record, but no Playoffs. That also means it puts the Vikings in the lower half of the Draft pick line-up, probably the 20th pick, give or take 5 spots.

    That screws them for picking up any one of the top 3 QBs, which I think they need to be going after.

    Then again...talking about next season might be a moot point with the lock-out looming, along with the stadium situation, so maybe I should just enjoy whatever wins they can get THIS season.


    JMO

  10. #30
    singersp's Avatar
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    Re: Can/Will the Vikings make the Playoffs

    Mathematically: Yes

    Will they: Hell, no. The odds are far to great.

    "If at first you don't succeed, parachuting is not for you"

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