Results 1 to 9 of 9
  1. #1
    josdin00's Avatar
    josdin00 is offline Ring of Fame
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    3,619

    Culpepper Fantasy Football Spotlight

    Spotlight - QB Daunte Culpepper, Minnesota Vikings

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Posted 6/25 by Jason Wood and David Yudkin, Exclusive to www.Footballguys.com

    Jason Wood's Thoughts

    Randy Moss had his worst season as a professional last year, 49 receptions for 767 yards, yet Daunte Culpepper enjoyed his best season, both in terms of "real" NFL accomplishments and as a fantasy player.

    Let that sink in a bit, because it's VERY important when analyzing Culpepper's 2005 outlook. I've seen so many people hung up on Randy Moss' trade to Oakland and how that's going to impact the Vikings offensive production; yet you HAVE to look a layer deeper in order to do yourself justice on draft day.

    In case you took a year off from watching football, Daunte Culpepper enjoyed one of the best offensive seasons in the HISTORY OF FOOTBALL.


    379 completions
    548 attempts
    69.2%
    4,717 yards
    8.6 YPA
    39 TD passes
    11 Ints
    406 rushing yards
    2 rush TDs
    433 fantasy points
    Thanks to Peyton Manning's 49 TD passes, Culpepper's season was largely unheralded, which is mind boggling.


    Culpepper's 433 fantasy points set a new ALL TIME SINGLE SEASON RECORD...overtaking Dan Marino's 1984 season. It was Culpepper, not Manning, who finished atop the fantasy rankings.
    Culpepper's 5,123 yards of offense (passing+rushing+receiving) also set a new ALL TIME SINGLE SEASON RECORD...overtaking, you guessed it, Dan Marino.
    Any way you slice it, Culpepper had a historic 2004 season, DESPITE having a very limited Randy Moss.

    But hold on a second, are you honestly suggesting Culpepper won't suffer some impact from Randy Moss' trade to Oakland?

    NO, of course not. First, let me say that history suggests Culpepper was due for some regression in his statistics this season regardless of Moss' presence or not. Take a look at any historic season and, by and large, it's difficult if not impossible to match it in year N+1. What I'm saying is that Culpepper's level of production is so high that even with a natural regression AND the departure of Randy Moss, he's still among the best and most productive fantasy options at the QB position.

    Let's play Devil's Advocate. Let's assume for a second that Randy Moss was replaced last year by the worst WR in history. Someone who was unable to catch one singular pass. Let's take Daunte Culpepper's 2004 numbers and treat EVERY reception by Moss as an incompletion. In other words, let's remove Moss' 49 receptions, his yards and his 13 TDs and pretend they were all incompletions. How would Culpepper have fared?


    330 completions
    548 attempts
    60.2% completion
    3950 yards
    7.2 YPA
    26 TD passes
    11 Ints
    406 yards rushing
    2 rush TDs
    343 fantasy points
    Even if the Vikings replaced Moss' production last year with ABSOLUTELY NOTHING, Culpepper still threw for almost 4,000 yards and his 343 fantasy points would have ranked 3rd last season.

    But here's the beautiful thing...the Vikings DIDN'T sit idly by and replace Moss with no one. They went out and added veteran Travis Taylor and spent the 7th overall draft choice on Troy Williamson. While NO ONE can replace Randy Moss' production single handedly, the Vikings are stacked offensively and still field one of the deepest group of receiving weapons in the league.


    N. Burleson -- 3rd year player ready to ascend into the WR1 role, poised for a top 15 fantasy season
    M. Robinson -- A savvy veteran receiver who caught almost 50 balls last year and 8 touchdowns despite playing 3rd fiddle to Moss and Burleson
    T. Taylor -- A former top 10 overall pick who languished in the run-first, conservative offense in Baltimore
    T. Williamson -- The 7th overall draft choice this year, considered by the Vikings a better pro prospect than Mike Williams
    K. Campbell -- Established deep threat and arguably the best WR5 in the league
    J. Wiggins -- Journeyman tight end found a home in Minnesota last year catching 71 receptions for 705 yards, re-signed this offseason
    J. Kleinsasser -- Former franchise player returns from injury...he caught 46 passes and 4 TDs in 2003, his last healthy season
    M. Bennett, M. Williams, M. Moore -- Three running backs who have all shown themselves to be capable threats out of the backfield when given the opportunity
    Any way you slice it, the Vikings have weapons. And Culpepper showed himself to be extremely capable of producing at a very high level last year when Moss was hobbled AND out of the lineup entirely. And we've not even gotten into Culpepper's production as a runner yet. His 406 yards and 2 TDs last year were his lowest output as a starter, and with the team promising to run more in 2005, he should be closer to his career averages of 5 rushing TDs and 460 yards rushing, in my view.



    Positives


    -Culpepper enjoyed a historic season last year despite Moss being hobbled and largely ineffective for half the season
    -The Vikings field one of the best and deepest groups of offensive players in the league despite Moss' departure
    -With a commitment to running the ball, one can expect Culpepper to score more than 2 TDs on the ground (he's averaged close to 5 per season)
    -If you removed every yard of production that Moss brought a season ago, Culpepper still threw for 3,950 yards and 26 touchdowns
    -At 6'4", 240 pounds, Culpepper is able to break tackles and take hits like no other quarterback, making it tougher to bring him down in the pocket and making him more effective as a goal line option than anyone else at the position (save for maybe Mike Vick)

    Negatives



    -All the aforementioned numbers aside, it's impossible to know the true impact of Moss' departure until the Vikings take the field this season
    -All-Pro center Matt Birk may be lost for a significant portion of the season
    -Long-time offensive coordinator Scott Linehan left for Miami and is being replaced by the unproven S. Loney
    -HC Mike Tice has sworn a return to a heavy ground game, which if realized, could impact Culpepper's passing production

    Final Thoughts

    If anyone tries to tell you Randy Moss' departure will have no impact on Daunte Culpepper, they have no business discussing football. That said, anyone that thinks Daunte Culpepper isn't still a very talented and productive fantasy option in Moss' absence also hasn't done enough analysis. Remember, it's been Culpepper, not Peyton Manning, who has owned the fantasy QB rankings the last few years. With a deep WR corps, a solid offensive line, and a veteran understanding of the offensive playbook, Culpepper should remain among the top five at his position. Ultimately he is still someone that will help fantasy owners win quite a few head-to-head matchups. Will he be as dominant as he was the last few years? Probably not. But if you're looking for elite QB production and Manning and McNabb are off the board already, no other QB is worth being picked ahead of Daunte. Draft accordingly.

  2. #2
    cajunvike's Avatar
    cajunvike is offline Jersey Retired
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Posts
    32,063

    Re: Culpepper Fantasy Football Spotlight

    Does picking McCrab ahead of Pep factor in the possibility that T-HO might not be there?
    BANNED OR DEAD...I'LL TAKE EITHER ONE

  3. #3
    akvikefan89 is offline Star Spokesman
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    2,160

    Re: Culpepper Fantasy Football Spotlight

    Finnaly, someone else who isn't upset about the Moss trade. Great read Josdin, *wipes tear from eye* that was
    beautiful.

  4. #4
    DarrinNelsonguy's Avatar
    DarrinNelsonguy is offline Team Alumni
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    3,118

    Re: Culpepper Fantasy Football Spotlight

    I don't care what some of the haters say but Manning is the only QB I would take ahead of C-Pepp
    "Hard work beats talent, when talent doesn t work hard."

  5. #5
    coreyd is offline Coach
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    924

    Re: Culpepper Fantasy Football Spotlight

    "DarrinNelsonguy" wrote:
    I don't care what some of the haters say but Manning is the only QB I would take ahead of C-Pepp
    True that...were looking at points and dependability. Manning is proven and consistent, whereas Pep...is not the most consistent.

    One thing I want to add to your stats. Its fine that you take Moss catches and all that off the charts, but what you cant take off is how many times he was double covered.....which leaves easier grabs for other recievers. Now, I am not underestimating what you wrote, because I was pretty damn impressed, but his speed and threat level CAN NOT be eliminated. I see where you are coming from, but overall, I dont see Pep having stats that are comparable to last year. What is going to shine this year is our defense.....not our offense.

  6. #6
    akvikefan89 is offline Star Spokesman
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    2,160

    Re: Culpepper Fantasy Football Spotlight

    "coreyd" wrote:
    "DarrinNelsonguy" wrote:
    I don't care what some of the haters say but Manning is the only QB I would take ahead of C-Pepp
    True that...were looking at points and dependability. Manning is proven and consistent, whereas Pep...is not the most consistent.

    One thing I want to add to your stats. Its fine that you take Moss catches and all that off the charts, but what you cant take off is how many times he was double covered.....which leaves easier grabs for other recievers. Now, I am not underestimating what you wrote, because I was pretty gol 'darnit impressed, but his speed and threat level CAN NOT be eliminated. I see where you are coming from, but overall, I dont see Pep having stats that are comparable to last year. What is going to shine this year is our defense.....not our offense.
    I think both will do quite well.

  7. #7
    josdin00's Avatar
    josdin00 is offline Ring of Fame
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    3,619

    Re: Culpepper Fantasy Football Spotlight

    "josdin00" wrote:
    Spotlight - QB Daunte Culpepper, Minnesota Vikings

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Posted 6/25 by Jason Wood and David Yudkin, Exclusive to www.Footballguys.com

    Jason Wood's Thoughts
    Jason Wood <> Josdin00

    Just wanted to make sure that people knew I didn't write that myself. Coreyd's post indicated that some people might be confused about that.

  8. #8
    coreyd is offline Coach
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    924

    Re: Culpepper Fantasy Football Spotlight

    Either way....good research.

  9. #9
    sunny's Avatar
    sunny is offline Pro-Bowler
    Join Date
    Dec 1969
    Posts
    373

    Re: Culpepper Fantasy Football Spotlight

    I certianly will not have any issues about taking CPep in any of my fantasy leagues exspecialy the one where a QB running in a TD gets double points :grin:
    I.B.O.T. #213

Similar Threads

  1. Fantasy Football D/ST
    By mountainviking in forum Fantasy Football Talk
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 07-08-2007, 10:38 AM
  2. Pro football players play fantasy football too!
    By cajunvike in forum The Clubhouse
    Replies: 2
    Last Post: 12-06-2006, 05:23 PM
  3. PP.O Fantasy Football
    By DaVizzles in forum Fantasy Football Talk
    Replies: 3
    Last Post: 08-21-2006, 12:17 PM
  4. Fantasy Football in NFL
    By Prophet in forum Fantasy Football Talk
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 08-13-2006, 06:16 PM

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •