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  1. #1
    singersp's Avatar
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    Third preseason game actually matters

    [size=13pt]Third preseason game actually matters[/size]

    August 25, 2007

    Chris Littmann
    sportingnews.com


    Count me in the camp that believes we could cut the preseason slate in half. I think we figure out more about depth charts because of preseason injuries than actual performance...


    "If at first you don't succeed, parachuting is not for you"

  2. #2
    gregair13's Avatar
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    Re: Third preseason game actually matters

    from the last two years, of all the teams that won in preseason week three, 11 of them have 500 or better records. i did this this morning:

    2005 preaseason week 3 winners:
    alt, phi, chi, nyg, bal, min, was, ne,
    car, air, sf,
    mia, dal, den, sea, stl









    500 record
    8-8, 6-10 11-5 11-5 6-10 9-7
    10-6 10-6 11-5 5-11 4-12 9-7
    9-7
    13-3 13-2 6-10

    11 wins


    2005 playoff teams:

    ne, cin, pitt, indy, jac, den
    2/6
    nyg, was, chi, tb, car, sea

    5/6


    2006 week 3 wins:
    car, phi, ari, min, nyg, oak, cle, ind, dal, atl, jac, ne,
    sd,
    kc, den, cin


    500 record
    8-8
    10-6 5-11 6-10 8-8
    2-14 4-12 12-4 9-7
    7-9
    8-8
    12-4 14-2 9-7 9-7
    8-8


    11 wins

    2006 playoff teams:
    ne, nyj, bal, indy, sd, kc

    4/6
    phi, dal, nyg, chi, no, sea

    3/6
    We're bringing purple back.

  3. #3
    cajunvike's Avatar
    cajunvike is offline Jersey Retired
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    Re: Third preseason game actually matters

    Our backups STINK!!!
    BANNED OR DEAD...I'LL TAKE EITHER ONE

  4. #4
    NDVikingFan66's Avatar
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    Re: Third preseason game actually matters

    "cajunvike" wrote:
    Our backups STINK!!!
    No....Green Bays backups stink.

    Ours just struggle

  5. #5
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    Re: Third preseason game actually matters

    "gregair13" wrote:
    from the last two years, of all the teams that won in preseason week three, 11 of them have 500 or better records. i did this this morning:

    2005 preaseason week 3 winners:
    alt, phi, chi, nyg, bal, min, was, ne,
    car, air, sf,
    mia, dal, den, sea, stl









    500 record
    8-8, 6-10 11-5 11-5 6-10 9-7
    10-6 10-6 11-5 5-11 4-12 9-7
    9-7
    13-3 13-2 6-10

    11 wins


    2005 playoff teams:

    ne, cin, pitt, indy, jac, den
    2/6
    nyg, was, chi, tb, car, sea

    5/6


    2006 week 3 wins:
    car, phi, ari, min, nyg, oak, cle, ind, dal, atl, jac, ne,
    sd,
    kc, den, cin



    500 record
    8-8
    10-6 5-11 6-10 8-8
    2-14 4-12 12-4 9-7
    7-9
    8-8
    12-4 14-2 9-7 9-7
    8-8



    11 wins

    2006 playoff teams:
    ne, nyj, bal, indy, sd, kc


    4/6
    phi, dal, nyg, chi, no, sea

    3/6
    This is a good theory, but I don't think the numbers really prove or disprove anything.

    There are 16 games in week 3, so you would think 11/16 ~2/3 chance of being .500 or better is pretty good.
    But in 2006 there were 20 teams at .500 or better for the regular season and 12 teams worse, which is also ~2/3.

    It's a similar deal for the playoffs.
    7/12 playoff teams for each of the past two years is more than half, but only one team more.
    Not really statistically relevant.

    That being said, it's possible that if we looked at a larger sample of historical data there could be a correlation.
    Certainly the theory seems sound: you play your starters most of the third game, so it is more representative of a real game.
    Of course, the preseason games don't matter theory also isn't bad.
    When the age of the Vikings came to a close, they must have sensed it. Probably, they gathered together one evening, slapped each other on the back and said, "Hey, good job." - Jack Handey [Deep Thoughts]

  6. #6
    scumpuke is offline Rookie
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    Re: Third preseason game actually matters

    Moral of story: don't put in Brooks Bollinger
    Partyin' Purple Style!

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