11-02-2007, 09:20 AM #1
The Fourth(-and-a-Half) annual (Quasi-)Super Bowl Prop Bet Extravaganza!
[size=14pt]The Fourth-and-a-Half Quasi-Super Bowl Prop Bet Extravaganza![/size]
In this weekÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s Scramble, IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll be departing from our typical format and topics to discuss at length the Patriots running up the score. IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll be discussing ethical conundrums related to scoring, the chart comparing maximum allowable pass length to score differential as delineated by quarter and time remaining, the effects of the signal-stealing penalty upon Bill BelichickÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s psyche, how Tom Brady wants to stay on the field to avoid being a father to his children, what Robert KraftÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s unconscious gestures mean, how the Ã¢â‚¬Ëœ72 Dolphins should be shamed for beating the Patriots 52-0 with the last two touchdowns being 50-plus-yard bombs, how Joe Gibbs actually used sleight-of-hand on Sunday to avoid shaking BelichickÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s hand when thereÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s photographic evidence that he didÃ¢â‚¬Â¦
Oh, wait. You guys covered it already? 87 times over? Sweet.
In this weekÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s Scramble, IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll take a bit of a different angle, then.
Every year, Scramble does a prop bet column for the Super Bowl, looking at the game from the perspective of many different, often silly over/under bets. The column usually runs about, oh, 28 pages long.
Since this game has been pretty much declared the Super Bowl of the regular season, weÃ¢â‚¬â„¢re going to turn the tables a bit. I have yet to see any prop bets set for the Pats/Colts game. Instead, what IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢m going to do is create what I would consider to be reasonable lines for the game in a variety of different situations and then pick an Over/Under based upon those bets. ItÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll work out well because if I end up winning money, IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll be accused of setting the lines in my favor, and if I lose, IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll be accused of not knowing how to set lines. Good olÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ lose-lose.
Regardless, feel free to discuss my bets in the comments section. I wonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t be tracking anyone elseÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s bets but my own, but if anyone wants to volunteer to track other peopleÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s bets, IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢d be happy to run the results in Scramble next week.
Unfortunately, some of the pageantry of the Super Bowl wonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t be featured in the Colts game, so we canÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t do bets on the more bizarre features of the event (e.g. the length of the National Anthem). WeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ll restrict our bets to those related to gameplay. Gotta save something for the Super Bowl.
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